Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 3.270772 3.460897 3.663352 3.896234 4.158328 4.446122 4.788775
2025-08-24 2.945074 3.197698 3.480518 3.824751 4.238397 4.727758 5.363999
2025-08-31 2.734037 3.027578 3.369290 3.804836 4.358556 5.059854 6.054409
2025-09-07 2.545385 2.859682 3.236378 3.733952 4.395996 5.284645 6.649148
2025-09-14 2.386180 2.710649 3.108432 3.649035 4.395904 5.450051 7.191745
2025-09-21 2.249052 2.576942 2.986120 3.555067 4.365902 5.560764 7.671113
2025-09-28 2.169456 2.508854 2.940646 3.556454 4.465717 5.875877 8.585042
2025-10-05 2.161544 2.530508 3.012201 3.723523 4.828110 6.677560 10.756728
2025-10-12 2.111877 2.493153 2.999895 3.766920 5.002963 7.199388 12.656928
2025-10-19 2.063547 2.454051 2.981327 3.797422 5.158597 7.721708 14.963050
2025-10-26 2.039074 2.445246 3.003700 3.890871 5.433290 8.559735 19.193043
2025-11-02 1.987017 2.395331 2.963204 3.880622 5.520111 9.018436 22.819861
2025-11-09 1.892786 2.287941 2.840806 3.741916 5.376169 8.963808 24.460535
2025-11-16 1.820505 2.209038 2.757268 3.662222 5.338980 9.179675 28.449266
2025-11-23 1.767772 2.155562 2.708714 3.636901 5.406072 9.702334 37.173083
2025-11-30 1.708197 2.089733 2.637945 3.568158 5.376282 9.956147 46.154197
2025-12-07 1.650271 2.023973 2.563975 3.488283 5.313082 10.097351 56.623336
2025-12-14 1.594508 1.959310 2.488710 3.400906 5.223470 10.133642 68.125645
2025-12-21 1.563206 1.928932 2.464719 3.401707 5.325320 10.850333 135.989759
2025-12-28 1.567821 1.951003 2.523214 3.554949 5.799310 13.279064 NaN
2026-01-04 1.547467 1.935021 2.520216 3.594591 6.016219 14.944604 NaN
2026-01-11 1.525909 1.916270 2.511559 3.622456 6.210447 16.776718 NaN
2026-01-18 1.516519 1.915393 2.531780 3.707915 6.578067 20.324194 NaN